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“Cut and sew is not the type of work Americans want,” Smeaton says. “In China, labor costs are $2 to $3 an hour. In America they are $20 an hour.” He explains that tariffs would have to rise to 500% to make reshoring worth considering. Many firms would be out of business long before then.
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The big finding: Claude Code builds, not buys. Custom/DIY is the most common single label extracted, appearing in 12 of 20 categories (though it spans categories while individual tools are category-specific). When asked “add feature flags,” it builds a config system with env vars and percentage-based rollout instead of recommending LaunchDarkly. When asked “add auth” in Python, it writes JWT + bcrypt from scratch. When it does pick a tool, it picks decisively: GitHub Actions 94%, Stripe 91%, shadcn/ui 90%.
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